UFC Fight Night action returns this weekend with a full card from Melbourne, Australia headlined by the surging Middleweight Derek Brunson. He will face a local challenger in Robert Whittaker, while the UFC Fight Night 101 co-main event will pit Andrew Holbrook against Jake Matthews.
MMA betting fans will also be able to take action on Kyle Noke vs. Omari Akhmedov as well as 10 other fights on the card.
Brunson and Whittaker are both on five-fight win streaks and are looking to enter the upper echelon of the UFC Middleweight division. The two match up well against each other, as the UFC odds at the Bovada sportsbook are indicating. Right now Brunson is a slim -145 favorite while the underdog option on Whittaker will pay +115.
Brunson is 6-0 when handicapped as the favorite in his career, but his opponent will have the hometown crowd behind him for this fight. We think Brunson will be able to overcome the adversity and display a dominant grappling technique that should end up being the difference in the fight.
If it was a three-rounder we would go with a Brunson decision win, but because it’s a five-round main event we like the late-round Brunson submission finish.
The UFC Fight Night 101 co-main event is not as closely handicapped with Matthews listed as the MMA betting -315 favorite at Bovada. His opponent Holbrook suffered his first loss in his last fight and could be the surprise dark-horse upset option on the card.
We think with a +245 payday on the upset it might be worth throwing a unit or two his way. The -315 price on Matthews seems a little expensive for two fighters still establishing themselves within the sport.
Noke is a +145 underdog at Bovada to beat Akhmedov in their UFC Fight Night 101 matchup. That makes the -175 option on Akhmedov appealing, despite the fact that he has lost his last two fights. Noke has lost five of his last eight fights, and we expect him to suffer the same fate in Melbourne.